Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.026624 0.028670 0.030727 0.032946 0.035270 0.037629 0.040201
2025-12-14 0.022212 0.025364 0.028651 0.032324 0.036298 0.040458 0.045127
2025-12-21 0.019295 0.023021 0.027016 0.031589 0.036654 0.042065 0.048257
2025-12-28 0.017962 0.022202 0.026846 0.032267 0.038375 0.045002 0.052692
2026-01-04 0.016535 0.021127 0.026260 0.032357 0.039334 0.047008 0.056024
2026-01-11 0.015217 0.020067 0.025593 0.032262 0.040004 0.048624 0.058861
2026-01-18 0.014497 0.019646 0.025609 0.032905 0.041474 0.051111 0.062658
2026-01-25 0.013478 0.018797 0.025061 0.032833 0.042072 0.052568 0.065253
2026-02-01 0.012585 0.018044 0.024580 0.032796 0.042673 0.053997 0.067794
2026-02-08 0.011753 0.017320 0.024090 0.032710 0.043183 0.055296 0.070165
2026-02-15 0.010978 0.016622 0.023595 0.032584 0.043617 0.056483 0.072390
2026-02-22 0.010301 0.016016 0.023183 0.032531 0.044114 0.057729 0.074671
2026-03-01 0.009386 0.015085 0.022367 0.032003 0.044083 0.058413 0.076386
2026-03-08 0.008487 0.014137 0.021500 0.031391 0.043941 0.058971 0.077970
2026-03-15 0.007628 0.013187 0.020583 0.030671 0.043624 0.059285 0.079235
2026-03-22 0.007365 0.013062 0.020746 0.031336 0.045040 0.061712 0.083057
2026-03-29 0.006913 0.012636 0.020483 0.031424 0.045713 0.063218 0.085760
2026-04-05 0.006432 0.012138 0.020097 0.031331 0.046139 0.064409 0.088070
2026-04-12 0.006228 0.012043 0.020259 0.031961 0.047493 0.066756 0.091808
2026-04-19 0.005813 0.011600 0.019913 0.031891 0.047927 0.067945 0.094116
2026-04-26 0.005437 0.011195 0.019603 0.031855 0.048393 0.069168 0.096463
2026-05-03 0.005072 0.010787 0.019270 0.031770 0.048785 0.070289 0.098680
2026-05-10 0.004721 0.010379 0.018919 0.031647 0.049113 0.071322 0.100784